Saturday, December 21, 2013

Combating projection bias

One manifestation of projection bias is where you think that your views won't change with time. For example, young people often think they will never want to be married or have children. I think a neat idea for a website would be to summarize from long-running surveys to see which opinions or beliefs change with age and which do not. You could even break out the data by subgroup so that someone could see, for example that "of the people with similar education and income levels who held my view, X% changed their mind". This might help when thinking about long-term commitments such as living location, jobs, and partners.